I can’t help but be dissapointed in the fact that there was no triumphant return this weekend for Marc Ravalomanana, despite the fact that it was not his fault.  I always thought that he would have to arrive in the country with a significant force in order to ensure that he is not captured and locked away (or worse) at the hands of the HAT. I must have gotten carried away with some sort of dream of Marc Ravalomanana arriving in Madagascar armed to the teeth with SADC military on a mission to remove all the corrupt CAPSAT military and put the HAT where they belong, in jail.

My first thought about him not appearing is that he had planned his return based on the fact that on fact that Andry Rajoelina at a press conference on April 16th the HAT said that they would not oppose the return of Marc Ravalomanana… perhaps because they had plans for him when he got there. Either way, it’s not like I seriously expected the HAT to allow Marc back into the country without any trouble. Now we are going to have to wait a few weeks… but for what I wonder, will he have a military backing the next time he comes back? From what I read in the news, he will probably need it, but I will touch on that later.

And as I suspected, they would use Marc and his former government as scape goats for the current financial trouble that they find themselves in. I don’t think I could think of a more lame excuse to arrest someone… yes HAT, it’s all Marc Ravalomanana’s fault that:

  • The HAT supporters burned and looted stores putting thousands out of work.
  • The harassed, then subsequently dismantled TIKO so that farmers would lose revenue and people would lose a valuable food necessity source.
  • The political turmoil caused by the their protests caused the tourism industry to dry up.
  • The HAT in itself is illegal causing most of the international community to cut funding to the country and start the discussion of sanctions.

Oh, I am sure there is a lot more to add to this list, but time is short for me, so I am going to leave it as is. It is not unusual for most governments around the world to blame the problems they face on the previous government, but in this case, I think the HAT has done far to much to Madagascar to get away with any finger pointing. Does anyone seriously believe that the HAT can just point a finger at Marc Ravalomanana and say “he did it…” and think that anyone would buy it? The fall out from this is all yours Andry Rajoelina, inevitably you and your government will never be able to run away from that. The only thing that Marc Ravalomanana is responsible for is the growth that was seen in the country since he has been president…. too bad that it was all taken away.

For now though, it looks like the people of Madagascar are in for more of the same from their corrupt army and corrupt government. As I eluded to above, it appears that the military is becoming hyperactive as they think that some “foreign force” or “mercenaries” are going to come and invade Madagascar. There was a statement on the April 18th, where they more or less stated that they are going to secure the whole territory for the month and that they will strongly defend the HAT (see the picture at the bottom of the post). And I am sure that their intent is really to “secure” the area. You know, it is pretty sad that almost everything that comes out of the news is completely unbelievable and almost always turns out to be a plan with alterior motives doesn’t it? As I am writing this I just had to stop and think, before I went on, that they are probably going to use this as an excuse to do something else. Who knows what that will be, but they have been too heavy handed with protestors, so it is unlikely that whatever they plan to do to “defend” the HAT will probably not be good.

And what of the economic crisis in Madagascar? Will their sole solution to their economic crisis be just a finger pointed at Marc Ravalomanana? Will it be their very weak and unrealistic solution to give all tourist “free visas” to visit Madagascar? Or perhaps it will be Monja Roindefo grovelling at the EU in Brussels on Wednesday to give them more money? I haven’t seen one single realistic solution to help Madagascar from them yet… especially since they just announced that they are going to be giving Tamatava a 1 Billion Ariary budget and will try to reduce the cost of taxi trips between Tamatave and neighboring cities. So… translated, that means that he is going to dump a lot of money that could be used elsewhere on a city and put the taxi drivers out of business because we all know how affordable gas and oil are.

Madagascar is a mess and it doesn’t look like it is going to be getting any better this year. From what I have been reading it almost seems as though the “solution” is to wait for an election… it is a disturbing trend that I am finding in more and more of the articles that I am reading. So… the question I guess now is, are we going to leave the poor people of Madagascar to live through 1 year under a terrorist government with little to no money? I certainly hope this is not what is going to happen, but the news, discussions, and everything else seems to be slowing down… I hope it is not a sign that it is true.

CAPSAT to defend the HAT (topmada)

CAPSAT to defend the HAT (topmada)


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